To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

In the world around us, many things exist in the context of time: a bird’s path through the sky is understood as different positions over a period of time, and conversations as a series of words ...

Reactions to Kimmel's suspension, Trump publicly rebukes Putin, and more Length: Long Speed: 1.0x Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a ...

Polymarket’s decentralized forecasting has caught Wall Street’s eye. The New York Stock Exchange’s parent, Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE), made a headline-grabbing US$2 billion investment last ...

Like artificial intelligence, the Web3 world wants a piece of the action in online betting markets. There is no greater example than this than the August announcement by a former Polymarket executive ...

Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading ...